Infogol Expected Goals Euro Acca: Back Bayern in 17/2 fourfold

Infogol's analyst is back with the best bets across Europe, using expected goals (xG) data to select a nicely priced weekend fourfold- According to the asian handicap tips page!

PSG to bounce back in style

Brest vs PSG

Saturday, 16:30 GMT

PSG were shocked at Dijon last weekend, and will be looking lớn bounce back here in another road game.

Brest are flying high at the moment, sitting ninth after 12 matches, but were beaten on the road by Amiens last weekend, and rightly so after a below par performance.

In fact, Brest have been one of the bigger over-performances in France this season, as while they sit 9th, they rank as the second worst team in the league on xG.

Their process is that of team that we would expect to be relegated (0.84 xGF, 1.49 xGA per game), with an especially poor attacking output, so will likely struggle lớn lay a glove on PSG. You can prefer lớn the soccer tips of the day page!

As mentioned already, PSG were beaten 1-0 by Dijon last weekend, but that result didn't tell the whole story, as Les Parisiens absolutely hammered the Mustard, racking up nearly 4 xGF without scoring (xG: DIJ 0.84 - 3.96 PSG).

Their process remains incredible (2.82 xGF, 0.59 xGA per game), and a clean sheet against Club Brugge in the Champions League in midweek bodes well ahead of this game.

Infogol suggests it's likely that we won't see both teams scoring here, calculating a 57% (1.75) chance of BTTS 'no', so the 1.85 (54%) available on the Exchange represents value.

A rare clean-sheet for Inter

Inter Milan vs Verona

Saturday, 17:00 GMT

Inter Milan continue lớn keep pace with Juventus at the top of Serie A following a fully deserved win against a good Bologna side last weekend, a game which they were unfortunate not lớn keep a clean sheet (xG: BOL 0.46 - 2.60 INT).

Antonio Conte's side were beaten in the Champions League in midweek, a difficult defeat lớn take having been 2-0 up at Dortmund, so expect a reaction in this game.

Inter have ranked as the best team in the league this season according to expected goals, a place higher than Juventus, and boast the best defensive process in Serie A (0.99 xGA per game).

Verona have made an excellent start lớn the season, and come in this game on the back of successive wins over Parma (xG: PAR 1.36 - 0.35 VER) and Brescia (xG: VER 0.89 - 1.02 BRE), but were fortunate to win both.

They have only hit the net nine times in 11 games this season, pretty much in-line with their xG total, so don't create many good chances in matches, and Infogol expects them to have trouble breaking Inter down here.

We calculate a 58% (1.72) chance of BTTS 'no' at the Giuseppe Meazza, meaning there a is a decent amount of value in the 1.91 (52%) available on the Exchange.


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